An Enduring Ceasefire Involving Israel and Palestine? We've Witnessed Similar Promises – The Consequence Was Further Conflict
So, what year is this? An American leader, after months of tacit encouragement, has at last become involved to stop an Israeli military offensive that has reduced extensive sections of a city in the Middle East to rubble, resulting in many thousands deceased and generating international condemnation.
The campaign has followed a series of attacks on Israel. Currently, under pressure from the White House, the Israel's leader, a right-leaning figure with an aptitude for appealing language and an intense sense of Zionist historical purpose, has approved a truce.
Historical Comparisons
The year is not present day, but 1982. The location is not Gaza City, but Beirut, Lebanon. The president is President Reagan, not Donald Trump.
There are many differences between what happened in Lebanon more than four in the past and what has happened in Palestinian territories in the recent period. The October attack of last year, which killed twelve hundred and included 250 taken hostage, differs significantly with the relatively paltry efforts of the Palestine Liberation Organization in the time preceding Israel's invasion of Lebanon.
Striking Parallels
Several similarities are remarkable. Reagan finally picked up the phone the Israeli leader, informing him that what was happening in Beirut was "a disaster" and explaining the relationship between their nations could be seriously harmed if the conflict persisted.
At that time, similar to current times, the conflict played out in immediate coverage on televisions worldwide. Hundreds journalists traveled to the capital to report on for the first time an regional battle without media restrictions by any party.
Subsequent Developments
The events following the call from the US president and the truce in Beirut is educational. The PLO, its factions and officials were scattered across vast distances and a multiple nations.
American leadership then withdrew multinational troops – a violation of the agreement with the Palestinian leader. The Lebanese president, Lebanon's freshly appointed head of state and Israeli-supported figure, was assassinated by Syrian intelligence.
Area-wide Shifts
The same was true across the wider Middle East. By the conclusion of that decade, the predominantly worldly and modern approaches that had seemed to offer the promise of a new future in the Middle Eastern nations previously were discredited.
The outcomes of this emerged rapidly, very quickly
In various nations, the Israeli state and the America now faced enemies who were significantly more stubborn, lethal and effective than the secular movements and nationalists of the past.
Western Response
In the west, the consequences of this were perverse. Through the that decade, western analysts and government representatives had sought to understand what generated violent extremism.
Then, in the early 1980s, this stopped. Government officials in the America, the UK and elsewhere were lost interest in "underlying reasons" of unrest.
Current Similarities
Recently, sources suggest that present administration informed the nation's leadership that the state could not fight all the world and recognized territorial ambitions for a state.
This also was an repetition of historical precedent. In the aftermath of the armed entry of the neighboring country, previous leadership told Israel that the power of its armed forces alone could not "bring permanent resolution" and acknowledged "legitimate rights of the Palestinian people."
But a internationally-backed regional peace plan supposed to resolve those grievances failed to progress. Overseas, national representatives watched impotently.
Global attention in the Middle East diminished. The nation resisted any concessions. Afterward, there was the major unrest, and the founding of additional militant groups.
- The patterns of the past provide thought-provoking lessons for current peace efforts
- Enduring agreements require confronting underlying issues rather than brief halts
- Local circumstances continue to evolve in complicated and frequently surprising ways